As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alexa Grasso at 82.0% in UFC: Who Will Natalia Silva Fight Next? — $11.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alexa Grasso, is priced at 82.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +20.5 pts.
Since October 05, 2026, Alexa Grasso has traded between 26.0% and 84.5%. It opened at 27.5% and last traded at 82.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.0% |
Alexa Grasso is favored at 82.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 82¢ | 82.0% | — | $7.1K | 60.6% |
| Fighter A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Valentina Shevchenko | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $2.2K | 18.3% |
| Erin Blanchfield | 2¢ | 2.5% | +0.4 pts | $2.5K | 21.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 83¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Natalia Silva is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Natalia Silva is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by October 4, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,774 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | Yes | 1,774 | $1.5K |
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | No | 1,034 | $186 |
| Lined-Protein | No | 620 | $112 |
| Advanced-Mailer | No | 367 | $66 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 120 | $98 |
| Total-Collard | Yes | 104 | $85 |
| Elated-Conspirator-Copying | Yes | 100 | $82 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 92 | $17 |
| Unhealthy-Drive-Offset | No | 59 | $11 |
| Writhing-Round | Yes | 50 | $41 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 03:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 03:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $18 |
| Oct 23, 03:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 03:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 03:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $25 |
| Oct 22, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 09:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alexa Grasso at 82.0%. Next is Fighter A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-natalia-silva-next-fight?via=bro
$11.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Alexa Grasso, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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