As of October 24, 2026, 09:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Piera Rodriguez at 71.5% in UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) — $27 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Piera Rodriguez, is priced at 71.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +21.5 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Piera Rodriguez has traded between 62.5% and 71.5%. It opened at 62.5% and last traded at 71.5%.
Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Piera Rodriguez is favored at 71.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Piera Rodriguez | 72¢ | 71.5% | +0.5 pts | $27 | 100.0% |
| Rodriguez in Round 3 | 52¢ | 52.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rodriguez to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alencar to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rodriguez in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rodriguez in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alencar in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alencar in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alencar in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Decision or Draw | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Talita Alencar | 28¢ | 28.5% | -0.5 pts | $27 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27 has been traded on this event in total, $13 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Piera Rodriguez" if Piera Rodriguez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Talita Alencar" if Talita Alencar is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 25 shares of Piera Rodriguez.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic-Lung-Tag | Piera Rodriguez | 25 | $18 |
| Reflecting-Assassination | Talita Alencar | 14 | $4 |
| Watery-Cloak | Talita Alencar | 5 | $1 |
| Silky-Constellation | Talita Alencar | 3 | $1 |
| Demanding-Grit-Counseling | Talita Alencar | 3 | $1 |
| Occasional-Lunchroom | Piera Rodriguez | 1 | $1 |
| Scornful-West | Talita Alencar | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:29 PM ET | Talita Alencar | BUY | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:06 PM ET | Talita Alencar | BUY | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:28 AM ET | Piera Rodriguez | BUY | 72.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 AM ET | Piera Rodriguez | BUY | 71.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 11:24 AM ET | Piera Rodriguez | BUY | 74.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Piera Rodriguez at 71.5%. Next is Rodriguez in Round 3 at 52.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-pie-tal1-2026-10-31?via=bro
$27 in total volume, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/events.
Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar: Piera Rodriguez, priced at 71.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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