As of October 24, 2026, 09:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Rodrigo Sezinando at 62.0% in UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims) — $192 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Rodrigo Sezinando, is priced at 62.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -12.0 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Rodrigo Sezinando has traded between 38.0% and 62.0%. It opened at 42.5% and last traded at 62.0%.
Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Rodrigo Sezinando is favored at 62.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Rodrigo Sezinando | 62¢ | 62.0% | +0.5 pts | $192 | 100.0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Berggren to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sezinando to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Berggren in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Berggren in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Berggren in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sezinando in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sezinando in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sezinando in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Decision or Draw | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Theodor Berggren | 38¢ | 38.0% | -0.5 pts | $192 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 37¢ / ask 39¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$192 has been traded on this event in total, $28 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Theodor Berggren" if Theodor Berggren is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rodrigo Sezinando at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Rodrigo Sezinando" if Rodrigo Sezinando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 90 shares of Theodor Berggren.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Theodor Berggren | 90 | $34 |
| Cumbersome-Pattypan-Permission | Rodrigo Sezinando | 63 | $39 |
| Crisp-Sentencing-Raisin | Rodrigo Sezinando | 50 | $31 |
| Massive-Cheesecake-Statement | Theodor Berggren | 45 | $17 |
| Reflecting-Assassination | Rodrigo Sezinando | 45 | $28 |
| Optimistic-Lung-Tag | Theodor Berggren | 26 | $10 |
| Substantial-Motor | Theodor Berggren | 5 | $2 |
| Yearly-Earnings-Leek | Rodrigo Sezinando | 5 | $3 |
| Demanding-Grit-Counseling | Theodor Berggren | 3 | $1 |
| Watery-Cloak | Rodrigo Sezinando | 3 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | Theodor Berggren | BUY | 39.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:15 AM ET | Theodor Berggren | BUY | 39.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 06:00 PM ET | Theodor Berggren | BUY | 42.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 05:59 PM ET | Rodrigo Sezinando | BUY | 60.0% | $30 |
| Oct 23, 03:49 PM ET | Theodor Berggren | BUY | 44.0% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 09:02 AM ET | Rodrigo Sezinando | BUY | 56.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 08:52 AM ET | Rodrigo Sezinando | BUY | 48.0% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Rodrigo Sezinando at 62.0%. Next is Fight to Go the Distance? at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-tbergg-rod10-2026-10-31?via=bro
$192 in total volume, with $28 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/events.
Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando: Rodrigo Sezinando, priced at 62.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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