As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Magomed Ankalaev at 53.5% in UFC: Who will Carlos Ulberg fight next? — $11.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Magomed Ankalaev, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts; past week: -13.5 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.
Since April 17, 2026, Magomed Ankalaev has traded between 10.0% and 75.5%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 53.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 53.5% |
Magomed Ankalaev is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magomed Ankalaev | 54¢ | 53.5% | -4.5 pts | $9.2K | 78.8% |
| Paulo Costa | 12¢ | 12.3% | +3.5 pts | $450 | 3.8% |
| Bogdan Guskov | 5¢ | 4.5% | -1.2 pts | $623 | 5.3% |
| Jan Blachowicz | 3¢ | 3.3% | -2.2 pts | $1.4K | 12.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 54¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.7K has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 25 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Carlos Ulberg is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Carlos Ulberg officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Carlos Ulberg is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 222 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 222 | $103 |
| Untimely-Fresco | Yes | 109 | $58 |
| Well-Worn-Lounge | Yes | 100 | $54 |
| Superb-Moody | No | 80 | $37 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 63 | $29 |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | Yes | 62 | $33 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 53 | $28 |
| Absolute-Cockpit-Dungarees | Yes | 40 | $21 |
| Usable-Bench | Yes | 28 | $15 |
| Muddy-Wire | No | 26 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 67.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 10:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 08:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 07:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 06:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 59.0% | $83 |
| Oct 21, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 42.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 08:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Magomed Ankalaev at 53.5%. Next is Paulo Costa at 12.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-carlos-ulberg-fight-next?via=bro
$11.7K in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 25 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Magomed Ankalaev, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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