As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Joshua Van at 100.0% in UFC: Who Will Manel Kape Fight Next? — $20.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Joshua Van, is priced at 100.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +19.4 pts; past week: +6.5 pts; past month: +7.4 pts.
Since June 22, 2026, Joshua Van has traded between 19.0% and 100.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 100.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 100.0% |
Joshua Van is favored at 100.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Van | 100¢ | 100.0% | +19.4 pts | $10.5K | 51.9% |
| Fighter A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tatsuro Taira | 0¢ | 0.1% | -3.8 pts | $772 | 3.8% |
| Alexandre Pantoja | 0¢ | 0.1% | -7.4 pts | $9.0K | 44.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.3K has been traded on this event in total, $5.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Manel Kape is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Manel Kape is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Manel Kape is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,952 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6fa70d26… | Yes | 1,952 | $2.0K |
| Superb-Moody | No | 1,000 | $0 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 889 | $0 |
| Silver-Nursery | Yes | 678 | $677 |
| Wretched-Postage | Yes | 473 | $472 |
| Fat-Fat-Hourglass | Yes | 296 | $296 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 267 | $0 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 247 | $0 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 141 | $0 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 125 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.9% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $79 |
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $80 |
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.7% | $1.9K |
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $238 |
| Oct 24, 04:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $83 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Joshua Van at 100.0%. Next is Fighter A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-manel-kape-fight-next-20260620182559031?via=bro
$20.3K in total volume, with $5.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Joshua Van, priced at 100.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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