As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Luana Santos at 67.5% in UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) — $237 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Luana Santos, is priced at 67.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -17.5 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Luana Santos has traded between 52.0% and 80.0%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 67.0%.
Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Luana Santos is favored at 67.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Luana Santos | 68¢ | 67.5% | +0.5 pts | $237 | 100.0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Santos in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Decision or Draw | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Yana Santos | 32¢ | 32.5% | -0.5 pts | $237 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 32¢ / ask 33¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$237 has been traded on this event in total, $186 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yana Santos" if Yana Santos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Luana Santos" if Luana Santos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 116 shares of Yana Santos.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adept-Catalyst-Minor | Yana Santos | 116 | $38 |
| Disloyal-Cinder | Luana Santos | 100 | $67 |
| Insignificant-Puddle | Yana Santos | 58 | $19 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Luana Santos | 30 | $20 |
| Massive-Cheesecake-Statement | Luana Santos | 29 | $19 |
| Reflecting-Assassination | Yana Santos | 15 | $5 |
| Optimistic-Lung-Tag | Luana Santos | 14 | $10 |
| Specific-Well | Yana Santos | 10 | $3 |
| Infamous-Time | Luana Santos | 10 | $7 |
| Yearly-Earnings-Leek | Luana Santos | 10 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | Yana Santos | BUY | 34.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:45 PM ET | Luana Santos | BUY | 67.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 11:39 AM ET | Yana Santos | BUY | 35.0% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 01:39 AM ET | Yana Santos | BUY | 34.7% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 02:24 PM ET | Luana Santos | BUY | 70.0% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 11:48 AM ET | Yana Santos | SELL | 29.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:26 AM ET | Luana Santos | BUY | 71.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 04:58 PM ET | Luana Santos | BUY | 88.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 12:12 PM ET | Yana Santos | BUY | 35.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:22 PM ET | Luana Santos | BUY | 93.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Luana Santos at 67.5%. Next is Fight to Go the Distance? at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-yan1-lua4-2026-10-31?via=bro
$237 in total volume, with $186 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/events.
Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos: Luana Santos, priced at 67.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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