As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3.5–3.9% at 50.8% in U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 — $148.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3.5–3.9%, is priced at 50.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -17.8 pts; past month: +7.1 pts.
Since January 22, 2026, 3.5–3.9% has traded between 0.7% and 67.7%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 49.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 61.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.9% |
3.5–3.9% is favored at 50.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–3.9% | 51¢ | 50.8% | +1.0 pts | $61.1K | 41.2% |
| 3.0–3.4% | 33¢ | 33.0% | -0.5 pts | $8.3K | 5.6% |
| 4.0-4.4% | 9¢ | 8.8% | +0.2 pts | $15.9K | 10.7% |
| <1.0% | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $2.7K | 1.8% |
| 2.5–2.9% | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $24.2K | 16.3% |
| 4.5%+ | 3¢ | 2.5% | -0.4 pts | $10.2K | 6.9% |
| 1.0–1.4% | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $2.5K | 1.7% |
| 2.0–2.4% | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $19.7K | 13.3% |
| 1.5–1.9% | 2¢ | 1.6% | +0.1 pts | $3.6K | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 50¢ / ask 52¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$148.3K has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,422 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 2,422 | $1.2K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,276 | $1.1K |
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | No | 1,120 | $550 |
| Steep-Visa | Yes | 447 | $227 |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 348 | $171 |
| Equal-Brass | Yes | 331 | $168 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 325 | $165 |
| Yummy-Winter | No | 200 | $98 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 194 | $99 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 178 | $87 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.1% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 08:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 52.2% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 05:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.2% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 02:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $30 |
| Oct 21, 01:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.6% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 01:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.6% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 09:29 AM ET | No | SELL | 48.8% | $49 |
| Oct 21, 05:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.1% | $19 |
| Oct 21, 05:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 46.3% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3.5–3.9% at 50.8%. Next is 3.0–3.4% at 33.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uk-annual-inflation-in-2026?via=bro
$148.3K in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases.
3.5–3.9%, priced at 50.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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