As of October 24, 2026, 07:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 9.3% in Ukraine election called by...? — $1.86M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 9.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +2.4 pts; past month: -0.2 pts.
Since May 14, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 3.8% and 28.5%. It opened at 28.5% and last traded at 9.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 6.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 6.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 8.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 9.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 9.0% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 9.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 9¢ | 9.3% | +0.2 pts | $102.9K | 5.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.86M has been traded on this event in total, $55 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,660 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finished-Wind | No | 3,660 | $3.3K |
| Compassionate-Lawsuit | No | 2,290 | $2.1K |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 2,279 | $212 |
| Truthful-Level | Yes | 1,952 | $181 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | Yes | 1,803 | $168 |
| Joint-Washbasin | No | 1,354 | $1.2K |
| Stable-Guilder | Yes | 1,300 | $121 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 1,065 | $966 |
| Grimy-Chub | Yes | 1,000 | $93 |
| Physical-Cleric | Yes | 1,000 | $93 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.6% | $50 |
| Oct 21, 09:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.7% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 02:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.8% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 01:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.5% | $15 |
| Oct 21, 01:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.7% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 01:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.3% | $78 |
| Oct 21, 12:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.9% | $50 |
| Oct 20, 09:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.2% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 09:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.7% | $31 |
| Oct 20, 09:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.6% | $46 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 9.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-called-in-2025?via=bro
$1.86M in total volume, with $55 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 9.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.