As of October 24, 2026, 07:43 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 4.2% in Ukraine election held by...? — $2.50M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 4.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: +2.6 pts.
Since November 13, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 1.1% and 56.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 4.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 3.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4.2% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 4.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.1 pts | $241.7K | 9.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.50M has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end February 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,824 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joint-Washbasin | No | 7,824 | $7.5K |
| Trusting-Wish | No | 3,591 | $3.4K |
| Responsible-Mine | Yes | 2,862 | $119 |
| 0x0dcb5c44… | Yes | 2,563 | $106 |
| Flamboyant-Boogeyman | Yes | 1,500 | $62 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 1,220 | $51 |
| Unwitting-Beanie | Yes | 1,161 | $48 |
| Pastel-Crate | No | 1,100 | $1.1K |
| Flustered-Improvement | No | 1,100 | $1.1K |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 1,080 | $45 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 09:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $46 |
| Oct 21, 09:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.6% | $32 |
| Oct 21, 11:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 08:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.4% | $14 |
| Oct 17, 04:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $19 |
| Oct 17, 04:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $20 |
| Oct 16, 05:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.4% | $6 |
| Oct 16, 05:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 4.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-election-held-in-2025?via=bro
$2.50M in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 12, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 4.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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