As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31 at 15.5% in Ukraine lowers conscription age by...? — $4.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, March 31, is priced at 15.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.5 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, March 31 has traded between 14.5% and 22.0%. It opened at 15.5% and last traded at 15.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 18.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 17.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 16.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 15.5% |
March 31 is favored at 15.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $3.5K | 75.1% |
| December 31 | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K | 24.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 15¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.7K has been traded on this event in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Ukraine lowers the minimum military conscription age between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The change must be confirmed through an official government announcement, legislation, or decree. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 492 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attentive-Algebra | Yes | 492 | $76 |
| frosique1 | No | 306 | $258 |
| Willing-Trait | No | 270 | $228 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 206 | $32 |
| Joyous-Consequence | No | 69 | $58 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | No | 66 | $56 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 55 | $46 |
| Known-Use | No | 40 | $34 |
| Filthy-Watcher-Pomegranate | Yes | 31 | $5 |
| Pleased-Schnitzel | Yes | 31 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 03:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.3% | $67 |
| Oct 23, 03:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 03:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $105 |
| Oct 23, 03:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 12:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 05:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 05:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 09:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31 at 15.5%. Next is December 31 at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ukraine-lowers-conscription-age-byptptpt?via=bro
$4.7K in total volume, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
March 31, priced at 15.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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