As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $200M at 44.5% in Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $251.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $200M, is priced at 44.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: +7.5 pts.
Since January 27, 2026, $200M has traded between 34.0% and 86.0%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 44.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 44.5% |
$200M is favored at 44.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 44¢ | 44.5% | — | $112.3K | 44.7% |
| $400M | 32¢ | 31.5% | — | $58.3K | 23.2% |
| $600M | 24¢ | 24.0% | +1.5 pts | $22.1K | 8.8% |
| $800M | 20¢ | 20.0% | +4.0 pts | $10.1K | 4.0% |
| $1.5B | 19¢ | 19.0% | +2.5 pts | $6.5K | 2.6% |
| $2B | 16¢ | 15.5% | +0.5 pts | $19.6K | 7.8% |
| $3B | 14¢ | 14.5% | -2.0 pts | $7.7K | 3.1% |
| $1B | 13¢ | 13.0% | -1.0 pts | $14.9K | 5.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 46¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$251.5K has been traded on this event in total, $621 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://hyperunit.xyz/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,770 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearless-Criminal-People | No | 3,770 | $2.1K |
| Luminous-Roadway | No | 2,834 | $1.6K |
| Unused-Sauerkraut | Yes | 2,789 | $1.2K |
| Frayed-Steel | No | 1,018 | $565 |
| Fruitful-Ectoderm | No | 1,000 | $555 |
| Incredible-Pickup | No | 856 | $475 |
| Fortunate-Eye | Yes | 802 | $357 |
| Revolving-Final | Yes | 798 | $355 |
| Humming-Inventory | Yes | 778 | $346 |
| Fatal-Wait | Yes | 753 | $335 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 11:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $14 |
| Oct 20, 08:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $16 |
| Oct 20, 08:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $17 |
| Oct 20, 08:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $50 |
| Oct 17, 04:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $17 |
| Oct 16, 12:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 10:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $11 |
| Oct 15, 10:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 68.0% | $30 |
| Oct 15, 04:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 54.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $200M at 44.5%. Next is $400M at 31.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$251.5K in total volume, with $621 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://hyperunit.xyz/.
$200M, priced at 44.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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