As of October 24, 2026, 06:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 46.0 to 48.9 at 39.5% in University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026 — $4.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 46.0 to 48.9, is priced at 39.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.5 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, 46.0 to 48.9 has traded between 32.5% and 39.5%. It opened at 32.5% and last traded at 39.5%.
46.0 to 48.9 is favored at 39.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 to 48.9 | 40¢ | 39.5% | +7.5 pts | $1.5K | 34.8% |
| 43.0 to 45.9 | 32¢ | 32.5% | +12.0 pts | $841 | 20.2% |
| 49.0 to 51.9 | 19¢ | 19.4% | -6.0 pts | $460 | 11.1% |
| <40.0 | 6¢ | 6.0% | -19.4 pts | $304 | 7.3% |
| 52.0 to 54.9 | 5¢ | 5.0% | -8.5 pts | $618 | 14.8% |
| 55.0+ | 4¢ | 4.5% | -44.5 pts | $206 | 4.9% |
| 40.0 to 42.9 | 4¢ | 4.3% | -21.1 pts | $286 | 6.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 41¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.2K has been traded on this event in total, $4.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 20, 2026, 10:00 AM ET.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for November 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for November 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for November 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on November 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution source: https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 260 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 260 | $157 |
| Weird-Ephemeris-Exception | Yes | 242 | $96 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 100 | $40 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | Yes | 60 | $24 |
| Bossy-Birdcage-Period | No | 42 | $25 |
| Unsteady-Porthole-Hummus | No | 40 | $24 |
| Jealous-Bat | No | 40 | $24 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 20 | $8 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 20 | $8 |
| Weepy-Bidet | No | 20 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $28 |
| Oct 24, 05:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.8% | $58 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 64.2% | $135 |
| Oct 24, 02:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.7% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 02:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.7% | $188 |
| Oct 24, 02:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 46.0 to 48.9 at 39.5%. Next is 43.0 to 45.9 at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-november-2026?via=bro
$4.2K in total volume, with $4.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 20, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/.
46.0 to 48.9, priced at 39.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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