As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 71.0% in Will UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings? — $1.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 71.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -8.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 69.5% and 79.0%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 79.0%.
Yes is favored at 71.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 71¢ | 71.0% | -8.5 pts | $1.2K | 100.0% |
| No | 29¢ | 29.0% | +8.5 pts | $1.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 70¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET.
As of market creation, UPS is estimated to release earnings on October 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for UPS’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.64 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if UPS reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.64 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If UPS releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/UPS/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,037 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bewitched-Matchmaker-Pilgrim | No | 1,037 | $301 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 200 | $142 |
| Scary-Neck-Vascular | Yes | 125 | $89 |
| Nutty-Hyacinth | Yes | 101 | $72 |
| Impassioned-Chastity | Yes | 101 | $72 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 100 | $71 |
| Prudent-Wheel | Yes | 100 | $71 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 90 | $64 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 52 | $37 |
| Delicious-Puppy-Consequence | Yes | 50 | $35 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.8% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 08:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.6% | $224 |
| Oct 23, 11:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 11:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 11:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 08:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 71.0%. Next is No at 29.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ups-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-10-27-2026-1pt64?via=bro
$1.2K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 09:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/UPS/earnings.
Yes, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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