As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Progreso at 85.2% in Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026) — $7.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Progreso, is priced at 85.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: -9.0 pts.
Since August 26, 2026, Progreso has traded between 24.0% and 97.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 87.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.2% |
Progreso is favored at 85.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 85¢ | 85.2% | -0.2 pts | $1.3K | 17.3% |
| Danubio | 62¢ | 62.5% | — | $530 | 7.0% |
| Cerro | 52¢ | 52.0% | -0.5 pts | $380 | 5.0% |
| Nacional | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $40 | 0.5% |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $640 | 8.4% |
| Cerro Largo | 50¢ | 49.7% | — | $64 | 0.8% |
| Central Español | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Albion | 14¢ | 14.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.5K | 19.2% |
| Peñarol | 4¢ | 4.2% | — | $300 | 3.9% |
| Defensor Sporting | 4¢ | 4.1% | — | $122 | 1.6% |
| Juventud (Las Piedras) | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $101 | 1.3% |
| Liverpool FC (Montevideo) | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $82 | 1.1% |
| Montevideo City Torque | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $129 | 1.7% |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $354 | 4.7% |
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K | 14.1% |
| Boston River | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $1.0K | 13.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 72¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Uruguayan Primera División at the conclusion of the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Uruguayan Primera División for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Uruguayan Primera División. If the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Uruguayan Primera División. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 310 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helpful-Cheese | Yes | 310 | $264 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 105 | $16 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 75 | $11 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 50 | $7 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 43 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 35 | $5 |
| Fantastic-Cause | No | 20 | $3 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 18 | $16 |
| Regal-Typhoon | No | 5 | $1 |
| Best-Feather | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 11:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.8% | $130 |
| Oct 15, 05:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 15, 05:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $10 |
| Oct 10, 10:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.8% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 06:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
| Oct 08, 05:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $5 |
| Oct 07, 06:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $57 |
| Oct 07, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 07, 11:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 06, 01:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Progreso at 85.2%. Next is Danubio at 62.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uruguayan-primera-division-teams-relegated-2026?via=bro
$7.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Progreso, priced at 85.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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