As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.2% in US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31? — $2.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.6 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 73.0% and 97.5%. It opened at 96.9% and last traded at 97.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.2% |
No is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.2% | — | $2.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $2.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will completely withdraw from Al Udeid Air Base between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base refers to a US directive to remove all military personnel from the base. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of The United States’ present implementation of, previously-unannounced prior implementation of, or definitive decision to implement a complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base. An announcement of a decision to implement such a withdrawal will qualify, regardless of whether some personnel remain at the base, or whether personnel are intended to remain for a period of time prior to withdrawal. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify a complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base. The announcement need not use specific terminology, provided the substance of a complete withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base is clearly and unambiguously communicated. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 522 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Accountant | No | 522 | $507 |
| Unfit-Coleslaw | Yes | 402 | $11 |
| Required-Horn | Yes | 297 | $8 |
| Crowded-Accommodation | No | 253 | $246 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 240 | $7 |
| Innocent-Kid | No | 218 | $212 |
| Peaceful-Safeguard | No | 116 | $113 |
| Mellow-Autumn | Yes | 75 | $2 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 33 | $1 |
| Candid-Shearling | No | 30 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.1% | $496 |
| Oct 23, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $394 |
| Oct 23, 11:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.2% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.2% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 11:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 09:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 04:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.3% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.2%. Next is Yes at 2.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-withdrawal-from-al-udeid-air-base-by-oct-31?via=bro
$2.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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