As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.4% in US congress stock trading ban before 2027? — $20.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.2 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 66.0% and 96.6%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 95.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.4% |
No is favored at 95.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.4% | — | $20.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 4.6% | — | $20.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,989 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shadowy-Possible | Yes | 5,989 | $276 |
| Spiffy-Noon | No | 5,243 | $5.0K |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 1,925 | $89 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 1,286 | $1.2K |
| Whimsical-Paint | No | 1,065 | $1.0K |
| Optimal-Plan | No | 545 | $519 |
| Joint-Timeline | No | 297 | $284 |
| cr7 | Yes | 250 | $12 |
| Rectangular-Census | No | 225 | $215 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 183 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 04:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 03:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.5% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 12:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.5% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 02:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.7% | $0 |
| Oct 12, 04:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.6% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 04:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.6% | $0 |
| Oct 12, 03:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 01:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.3% | $35 |
| Sep 19, 05:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $36 |
| Sep 18, 09:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.4%. Next is Yes at 4.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-congress-stock-trading-ban-before-2027?via=bro
$20.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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