As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 19.5% in U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...? — $461.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 19.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +7.0 pts; past month: -4.5 pts.
Since May 29, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 10.0% and 64.5%. It opened at 31.0% and last traded at 19.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 18.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 19.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 19.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 20¢ | 19.5% | +1.0 pts | $19.3K | 4.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 25¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$461.8K has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 705 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daring-President | Yes | 705 | $137 |
| Miserly-Age | Yes | 437 | $85 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses | No | 398 | $320 |
| Minor-Rose | No | 346 | $278 |
| Whimsical-Seller | No | 299 | $241 |
| Purple-Fruit | Yes | 209 | $41 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 191 | $37 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | No | 156 | $126 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 150 | $121 |
| NoSteinNoGate | No | 111 | $90 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 11:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $124 |
| Oct 22, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $77 |
| Oct 21, 07:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 37.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 04:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 04:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 50.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 02:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 50.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 08:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 12:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.1% | $40 |
| Oct 21, 12:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 19.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-embassy-in-damaskus-reopend-by?via=bro
$461.8K in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 19.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.