As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.5% in US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? — $65.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 40.5% and 96.0%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.5% |
No is favored at 95.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 95.5% | -0.5 pts | $65.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.5 pts | $65.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$65.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,716 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peaceful-Illusion | No | 6,716 | $6.4K |
| Our-Carload | Yes | 6,378 | $287 |
| Firsthand-North | No | 2,222 | $2.1K |
| Spiffy-Noon | No | 1,972 | $1.9K |
| Key-Sovereignty | No | 1,352 | $1.3K |
| Exotic-Prize | Yes | 1,250 | $56 |
| Pristine-Business | Yes | 1,222 | $55 |
| Productive-Camera | Yes | 1,100 | $49 |
| Chubby-Prior | No | 1,000 | $955 |
| Peppery-Capital | Yes | 996 | $45 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 02:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 06:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 10:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $7 |
| Oct 13, 11:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 04:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 11:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 06:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 05, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 10:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.5%. Next is Yes at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-national-bitcoin-reserve-before-2027?via=bro
$65.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.