As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.1% in US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? — $19.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.1 pts; past month: -0.8 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 69.0% and 97.3%. It opened at 70.5% and last traded at 97.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.1% |
No is favored at 97.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.1% | — | $19.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $19.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 882 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doting-Email | Yes | 882 | $26 |
| Flashy-Label | No | 689 | $669 |
| Lumpy-Accusation | Yes | 669 | $19 |
| Common-Tributary | No | 585 | $568 |
| Candid-Compress-Pick | Yes | 501 | $15 |
| 0xcf0f71a0… | Yes | 481 | $14 |
| Blaring-Surge | No | 344 | $334 |
| Best-Dot | Yes | 295 | $9 |
| Grateful-Washtub | No | 230 | $223 |
| Buoyant-Friendship | No | 188 | $182 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 04:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $10 |
| Oct 10, 03:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.3% | $6 |
| Oct 07, 05:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 05:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 08:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 08:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.7% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 07:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 04:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.1%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-national-ethereum-reserve-before-2027?via=bro
$19.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.1% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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