As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 91.5% in US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? — $40.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 91.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -3.0 pts.
Since July 23, 2026, No has traded between 22.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 73.5% and last traded at 91.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 91.5% |
No is favored at 91.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 91.5% | — | $40.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $40.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$40.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act enters into force and becomes legally operative between the two governments between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,231 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lustrous-Parchment | No | 4,231 | $3.9K |
| Chubby-Prior | Yes | 2,286 | $194 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses | No | 1,106 | $1.0K |
| Radiant-Tab | Yes | 778 | $66 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 456 | $39 |
| Whimsical-Seller | Yes | 442 | $38 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | Yes | 381 | $32 |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 340 | $29 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 300 | $274 |
| Serious-Authority | Yes | 299 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 05:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 06:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 02:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $5 |
| Oct 09, 05:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 07:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 08, 10:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $3 |
| Oct 08, 09:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $3 |
| Oct 04, 05:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 05:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 91.5%. Next is Yes at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-saudi-nuclear-deal-enters-into-force-in-2026-20260722230956508?via=bro
$40.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 91.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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