As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.2% in US takes Panama Canal before 2027? — $178.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.
Since November 13, 2025, No has traded between 82.0% and 98.8%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 97.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.1% |
No is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.2% | +0.1 pts | $178.2K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $178.2K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$178.2K has been traded on this event in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means. An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12,664 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 12,664 | $12.3K |
| Breakable-Bottomline | Yes | 10,044 | $286 |
| Substantial-Coupon | Yes | 10,014 | $285 |
| Passionate-Township | Yes | 3,954 | $113 |
| Piercing-Oregano | Yes | 3,000 | $86 |
| Remarkable-Burst | No | 2,700 | $2.6K |
| Nutty-Musician | No | 2,500 | $2.4K |
| Amusing-Donation | No | 2,253 | $2.2K |
| Flashy-Label | No | 2,000 | $1.9K |
| Prickly-Signup | No | 1,830 | $1.8K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 03:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 02:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.7% | $97 |
| Oct 16, 02:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $520 |
| Oct 05, 07:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 07:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $23 |
| Oct 01, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 01, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 01, 04:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $336 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.2%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-takes-panama-canal-before-2027?via=bro
$178.2K in total volume, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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