As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 20.0% in US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___? — $4.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 20.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -14.0 pts; past month: -14.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 20.0% and 50.5%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 20.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 32.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 20.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 20.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 20.0% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 20.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $3.2K | 71.1% |
| December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 3.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.3K | 28.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 19¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury officially announces that it has purchased Bitcoin between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement must clearly and unambiguously communicate a completed purchase of Bitcoin; statements that the Treasury intends, plans, or is authorized to purchase Bitcoin, including through legislation or an executive order, will not qualify. Bitcoin acquired through seizure, forfeiture, or other non-purchase means, and indirect exposure such as funds or ETFs, will not qualify. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announcement is later reversed or retracted, or whether the Bitcoin is subsequently sold. A qualifying announcement must come from an official U.S. government source or an authorized U.S. government official acting in an official capacity, and must concern a purchase carried out by or on behalf of the Treasury. Qualifying sources include Treasury press releases, statements, websites, social media accounts, and Federal Register notices, as well as recorded or written statements by Treasury officials, the President, or the White House. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 317 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glaring-Myth | No | 317 | $254 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 232 | $46 |
| Silent-Rowboat | No | 231 | $185 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 180 | $36 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 128 | $103 |
| Long-Term-Overhead | Yes | 95 | $19 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 72 | $14 |
| Bright-Charge-Guacamole | Yes | 52 | $10 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 50 | $10 |
| Clumsy-Hub | No | 34 | $27 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 05:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 05:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $32 |
| Oct 20, 05:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.8% | $250 |
| Oct 20, 05:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $16 |
| Oct 16, 04:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $50 |
| Oct 15, 02:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 15, 12:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $14 |
| Oct 14, 12:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 29.0% | $6 |
| Oct 14, 11:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $49 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 20.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 3.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-treasury-announces-bitcoin-purchase-by?via=bro
$4.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 20.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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