As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 7.0% in US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...? — $38.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 7.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -20.5 pts.
Since July 21, 2026, October 31 has traded between 6.5% and 77.0%. It opened at 62.5% and last traded at 6.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 6.5% |
October 31 is favored at 7.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 7¢ | 7.0% | -3.0 pts | $12.5K | 32.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$38.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fruitful-Succotash | No | 250 | $233 |
| Another-Comb | Yes | 219 | $15 |
| Immediate-Machine | Yes | 111 | $8 |
| Male-Sorghum | No | 100 | $93 |
| Silver-Astronomy | No | 95 | $88 |
| Silky-Trapezium | No | 94 | $87 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 74 | $5 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 73 | $5 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 58 | $4 |
| All-Peasant-Drug | No | 48 | $44 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 02:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 08:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $20 |
| Oct 16, 06:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $12 |
| Oct 15, 11:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $10 |
| Oct 13, 07:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 03:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.4% | $20 |
| Oct 05, 05:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $10 |
| Oct 03, 08:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $12 |
| Oct 03, 08:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $12 |
| Oct 02, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260616212816384?via=bro
$38.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 7.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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