Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 7.0% in US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...? — $38.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
October 31
7%
A 7.0% price implies roughly a 7-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −3.0 pts7D −4.0 pts30D −20.5 pts
Bid
5¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 21, 2026: 6.5% – 77.0% · Opened at 62.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
Category
Cuba, Trump, Castro, Politics, Diaz-Canel, Geopolitics
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$38.9K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$10.7K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
October 31 — 7.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 7.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -20.5 pts.

Since July 21, 2026, October 31 has traded between 6.5% and 77.0%. It opened at 62.5% and last traded at 6.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202611.5%
Oct 18, 202612.0%
Oct 19, 20269.5%
Oct 20, 20269.0%
Oct 22, 202610.0%
Oct 23, 202610.0%
Oct 24, 20266.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

October 31 is favored at 7.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
October 317¢7.0%-3.0 pts$12.5K32.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$38.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Fruitful-SuccotashNo250$233
Another-CombYes219$15
Immediate-MachineYes111$8
Male-SorghumNo100$93
Silver-AstronomyNo95$88
Silky-TrapeziumNo94$87
Belated-GlueYes74$5
Pleasing-ElmYes73$5
Bouncy-SavingYes58$4
All-Peasant-DrugNo48$44

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $200 at 79.9%BUY No — $80 at 79.8%BUY No — $70 at 80.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 02:49 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$1
Oct 18, 08:13 PM ETNoBUY91.0%$20
Oct 16, 06:04 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$12
Oct 15, 11:59 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$10
Oct 13, 07:12 AM ETYesSELL7.0%$1
Oct 12, 03:02 PM ETNoBUY92.4%$20
Oct 05, 05:41 PM ETNoBUY88.0%$10
Oct 03, 08:04 AM ETYesSELL21.0%$12
Oct 03, 08:04 AM ETYesSELL21.0%$12
Oct 02, 05:31 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$20

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260616212816384?via=bro

How much money has been traded on US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...??

$38.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

October 31, priced at 7.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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