As of October 24, 2026, 08:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 18.5% in US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...? — $5.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 18.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +4.0 pts; past month: -7.0 pts.
Since August 18, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.0% and 56.0%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 15.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 15.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 15.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 15.5% |
December 31 is favored at 18.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 18¢ | 18.5% | +3.0 pts | $4.2K | 81.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.2K has been traded on this event in total, $140 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between the United States and North Korea by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 873 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Larder | No | 873 | $711 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 227 | $42 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 200 | $37 |
| Electric-Architect | Yes | 151 | $28 |
| Ripe-Cake | Yes | 140 | $26 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 108 | $20 |
| Flamboyant-Passage | Yes | 100 | $18 |
| Unlined-Marshmallow | No | 100 | $82 |
| Writhing-Round | Yes | 60 | $11 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 60 | $49 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $24 |
| Oct 22, 04:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $17 |
| Oct 22, 02:05 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.8% | $184 |
| Oct 22, 02:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.4% | $419 |
| Oct 22, 02:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 02:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.1% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 01:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 11:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 11:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 18.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-north-korea-diplomatic-meeting-by?via=bro
$5.2K in total volume, with $140 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 18.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.