Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 18.5% in US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...? — $5.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $140.
Leading outcome
December 31
18%
A 18.5% price implies roughly a 18-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.0 pts7D +4.0 pts30D −7.0 pts
Bid
18¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 18, 2026: 8.0% – 56.0% · Opened at 46.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?
Category
Trump, Politics, Kim Jong Un, North Korea
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$5.2K
Volume (24h)
$140
Liquidity
$10.6K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31 — 18.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 18.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +4.0 pts; past month: -7.0 pts.

Since August 18, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.0% and 56.0%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 15.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202615.5%
Oct 16, 202615.5%
Oct 18, 202615.0%
Oct 19, 202613.5%
Oct 20, 202614.0%
Oct 22, 202615.0%
Oct 23, 202615.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 18.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 3118¢18.5%+3.0 pts$4.2K81.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 18¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.2K has been traded on this event in total, $140 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting between the United States and North Korea by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement. A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 873 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Plastic-LarderNo873$711
Belated-GlueYes227$42
Unfit-HardboardYes200$37
Electric-ArchitectYes151$28
Ripe-CakeYes140$26
Snappy-RoosterYes108$20
Flamboyant-PassageYes100$18
Unlined-MarshmallowNo100$82
Writhing-RoundYes60$11
Plump-ImplementationNo60$49

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $419 at 81.4%SELL No — $184 at 84.8%BUY No — $86 at 86.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 11:09 AM ETYesBUY17.0%$24
Oct 22, 04:38 PM ETNoSELL86.0%$17
Oct 22, 02:05 PM ETNoSELL84.8%$184
Oct 22, 02:03 PM ETNoBUY81.4%$419
Oct 22, 02:03 PM ETYesBUY18.0%$8
Oct 22, 02:03 PM ETNoBUY90.1%$18
Oct 22, 01:11 PM ETYesSELL20.0%$0
Oct 22, 11:50 AM ETYesBUY19.0%$3
Oct 22, 11:50 AM ETNoSELL81.0%$18
Oct 22, 11:50 AM ETYesBUY20.0%$4

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 18.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-x-north-korea-diplomatic-meeting-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...??

$5.2K in total volume, with $140 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 18.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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