As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 2.5 - 3.0M at 32.0% in USD x Iranian rials End of December? — $133.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 2.5 - 3.0M, is priced at 32.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +7.0 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, 2.5 - 3.0M has traded between 9.0% and 33.5%. It opened at 30.0% and last traded at 31.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 25.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 31.5% |
2.5 - 3.0M is favored at 32.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 - 3.0M | 32¢ | 32.0% | -1.0 pts | $24.7K | 18.5% |
| 3.0 - 3.5M | 25¢ | 25.0% | +0.5 pts | $25.9K | 19.4% |
| 2.0 - 2.5M | 22¢ | 22.0% | +3.5 pts | $27.7K | 20.7% |
| 3.5 - 4.0M | 12¢ | 12.0% | -0.1 pts | $15.7K | 11.8% |
| 4.0M+ | 8¢ | 7.8% | +1.0 pts | $8.5K | 6.3% |
| <2.0M | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $31.1K | 23.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 31¢ / ask 33¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$133.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,221 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 6,221 | $4.2K |
| Lumbering-Nicety | Yes | 5,809 | $1.9K |
| Purple-Fruit | No | 943 | $641 |
| Knobby-Periodical-Hunting | Yes | 400 | $128 |
| Half-Perspective | No | 387 | $263 |
| Dimpled-Hurt | Yes | 300 | $96 |
| Electric-Architect | Yes | 272 | $87 |
| Embellished-Doorbell | Yes | 267 | $85 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 211 | $68 |
| Yummy-Winter | No | 200 | $136 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.7% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 2.5 - 3.0M at 32.0%. Next is 3.0 - 3.5M at 25.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december?via=bro
$133.6K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd.
2.5 - 3.0M, priced at 32.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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