As of October 24, 2026, 09:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Up at 50.0% in US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) Up or Down on October 26? — $2 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Up, is priced at 50.0%.
Since October 23, 2026, Up has traded between 50.0% and 50.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.0%.
Up is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Up | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $2 | 100.0% |
| Down | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $2 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 98¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Turkish Lira (USD/TRY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FTRY
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:16 PM ET | Up | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 06:06 PM ET | Up | BUY | 99.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET, the leading outcome is Up at 50.0%. Next is Down at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/usdtry-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026?via=bro
$2 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FTRY.
Up, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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