As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 95.0% in USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...? — $25.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 95.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.3 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, November 30 has traded between 88.0% and 97.9%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 95.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.0% |
November 30 is favored at 95.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 95¢ | 95.0% | -0.3 pts | $2.5K | 9.9% |
| November 15 | 86¢ | 85.5% | +0.5 pts | $4.5K | 17.4% |
| November 12 | 61¢ | 61.0% | +6.5 pts | $1.8K | 6.8% |
| November 7 | 22¢ | 22.0% | -1.5 pts | $5.6K | 21.8% |
| November 3 | 6¢ | 6.0% | -2.0 pts | $1.4K | 5.4% |
| October 31 | 3¢ | 3.1% | -0.4 pts | $10.0K | 38.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25.9K has been traded on this event in total, $771 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, exercises, or other operations outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility, including in the U.S. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,055 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silky-Fax | Yes | 1,055 | $1.0K |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 600 | $30 |
| Traumatic-Bakery | No | 169 | $8 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 160 | $152 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 121 | $6 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 85 | $4 |
| Required-Horn | No | 62 | $3 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 42 | $2 |
| Worldly-Meat | No | 34 | $2 |
| Immediate-Machine | No | 32 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.3% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 02:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 01:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $27 |
| Oct 23, 10:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 08:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 08:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $30 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 95.0%. Next is November 15 at 85.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt?via=bro
$25.9K in total volume, with $771 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
November 30, priced at 95.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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