Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price November 30 at 95.0% in USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...? — $25.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $771.
Leading outcome
November 30
95%
A 95.0% price implies roughly a 95-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.3 pts7D +1.5 pts
November 3095.0%
November 1585.5%
Bid
94¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 03, 2026: 88.0% – 97.9% · Opened at 88.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?
Category
Navy, Sailor, Military, Geopolitics, Middle East, United States, Military Actions
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$25.9K
Volume (24h)
$771
Liquidity
$94.4K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
November 30 — 95.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, November 30, is priced at 95.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.3 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.

Since October 03, 2026, November 30 has traded between 88.0% and 97.9%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 95.0%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202697.7%
Oct 15, 202697.8%
Oct 16, 202693.0%
Oct 18, 202694.1%
Oct 19, 202694.2%
Oct 20, 202697.2%
Oct 24, 202695.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

November 30 is favored at 95.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
November 3095¢95.0%-0.3 pts$2.5K9.9%
November 1586¢85.5%+0.5 pts$4.5K17.4%
November 1261¢61.0%+6.5 pts$1.8K6.8%
November 722¢22.0%-1.5 pts$5.6K21.8%
November 36¢6.0%-2.0 pts$1.4K5.4%
October 313¢3.1%-0.4 pts$10.0K38.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$25.9K has been traded on this event in total, $771 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility. The arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.” Port calls, exercises, or other operations outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility, including in the U.S. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,055 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Silky-FaxYes1,055$1.0K
Skeletal-LiverNo600$30
Traumatic-BakeryNo169$8
Piercing-FormationYes160$152
Belated-GlueNo121$6
Stale-CashewNo85$4
Required-HornNo62$3
Grim-GarageNo42$2
Worldly-MeatNo34$2
Immediate-MachineNo32$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $649 at 95.8%BUY Yes — $481 at 86.7%BUY No — $206 at 94.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:58 AM ETNoSELL94.3%$37
Oct 24, 02:27 AM ETNoBUY18.0%$4
Oct 24, 01:24 AM ETNoSELL72.0%$14
Oct 24, 01:23 AM ETYesBUY26.0%$5
Oct 24, 01:23 AM ETYesBUY22.0%$27
Oct 23, 10:07 PM ETNoBUY78.0%$16
Oct 23, 08:51 PM ETNoSELL72.0%$0
Oct 23, 08:51 PM ETNoSELL72.0%$0
Oct 23, 07:46 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$16
Oct 23, 07:46 PM ETNoBUY79.0%$30

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is November 30 at 95.0%. Next is November 15 at 85.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...??

$25.9K in total volume, with $771 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

November 30, priced at 95.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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