As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Map 3 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming at 64.5% in Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO5) - VCT Threshold China Week 1 — $1.9K traded so far.
Map 3 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming is favored at 64.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map 3 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming | 63¢ | 63.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming | 63¢ | 63.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: Nova Esports | 61¢ | 61.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
| Map 4 Winner: Nova Esports | 54¢ | 54.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 3.5 Games: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 3.5 Games: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 4.5 Games: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 4.5 Games: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5): Nova Esports | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5): Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: NOVA (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Nova Esports | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map Handicap: NOVA (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Nova Esports | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Nova Esports | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Nova Esports | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Nova Esports | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+2.5): Nova Esports | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 4 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Match Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39¢ | 39.0% | — | $1.9K | 100.0% |
| Map 1 Winner: Nova Esports | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 2 Winner: Nova Esports | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Map 3 Winner: Nova Esports | 36¢ | 35.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 49¢ (bid 40¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
This market refers to the Valorant Grand Final match between Dragon Ranger Gaming and Nova Esports in the VCT Threshold China Week 1, initially scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming win Map 3 against Nova Esports. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win Map 3 against Dragon Ranger Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 8, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:55 PM ET | Dragon Ranger Gaming | BUY | 40.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 08:02 PM ET | Nova Esports | BUY | 63.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | Nova Esports | BUY | 60.0% | $120 |
| Oct 24, 07:26 PM ET | Nova Esports | BUY | 60.0% | $200 |
| Oct 24, 07:24 PM ET | Nova Esports | BUY | 60.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:16 PM ET | Nova Esports | BUY | 60.0% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 07:16 PM ET | Nova Esports | BUY | 60.0% | $60 |
| Oct 24, 07:15 PM ET | Nova Esports | BUY | 60.0% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 PM ET | Dragon Ranger Gaming | BUY | 41.0% | $89 |
| Oct 24, 06:24 PM ET | Dragon Ranger Gaming | BUY | 40.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Map 3 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming at 64.5%. Next is Map 1 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming at 63.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/val-drg-nova-2026-10-25?via=bro
$1.9K in total volume, with $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://vlr.gg.
Map 3 Winner: Dragon Ranger Gaming, priced at 64.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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