As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $20M at 33.5% in Valantis FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $16.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $20M, is priced at 33.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -7.0 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since April 21, 2026, $20M has traded between 27.0% and 70.5%. It opened at 70.0% and last traded at 33.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 36.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 32.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 33.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 33.5% |
$20M is favored at 33.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $20M | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $2.6K | 15.9% |
| $50M | 26¢ | 26.5% | +1.5 pts | $4.6K | 28.0% |
| $80M | 20¢ | 20.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.4K | 8.9% |
| $100M | 20¢ | 20.0% | +1.0 pts | $3.4K | 20.9% |
| $150M | 19¢ | 19.0% | -2.5 pts | $883 | 5.4% |
| $200M | 16¢ | 16.0% | +0.5 pts | $2.5K | 15.4% |
| $300M | 16¢ | 16.0% | +0.5 pts | $631 | 3.9% |
| $500M | 10¢ | 10.0% | +0.2 pts | $258 | 1.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 32¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.3K has been traded on this event in total, $210 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Valantis token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Valantis will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Valantis (https://x.com/ValantisLabs) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/ValantisLabs
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 280 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natural-Vacation | Yes | 280 | $94 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 136 | $90 |
| 0xf22b9260… | No | 62 | $41 |
| Profitable-Punishment | No | 51 | $34 |
| Damp-Thigh | Yes | 50 | $17 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 46 | $31 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 32 | $11 |
| Proud-Bond | No | 32 | $21 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 31 | $21 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 30 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.4% | $52 |
| Oct 23, 09:45 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 09:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is $20M at 33.5%. Next is $50M at 26.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/valantis-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$16.3K in total volume, with $210 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/ValantisLabs.
$20M, priced at 33.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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