As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Gentle Mates at 80.0% in VALORANT Offseason: Alfajer Next Team — $1.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Gentle Mates, is priced at 80.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, Gentle Mates has traded between 22.5% and 83.5%. It opened at 22.5% and last traded at 79.5%.
Gentle Mates is favored at 80.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gentle Mates | 80¢ | 80.0% | +4.5 pts | $193 | 14.4% |
| Team A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pcific Esports | 12¢ | 12.4% | -0.1 pts | $56 | 4.1% |
| Team Heretics | 10¢ | 9.6% | -3.5 pts | $58 | 4.3% |
| Team Liquid | 10¢ | 9.6% | -2.9 pts | $58 | 4.3% |
| Natus Vincere | 7¢ | 7.0% | -7.5 pts | $58 | 4.3% |
| Fnatic | 7¢ | 6.7% | -1.1 pts | $318 | 23.6% |
| Karmine Corp | 6¢ | 6.3% | -7.7 pts | $40 | 2.9% |
| GIANTX | 6¢ | 6.2% | -4.2 pts | $58 | 4.3% |
| BBL Esports | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.7 pts | $216 | 16.1% |
| ULF Esports | 3¢ | 2.9% | -9.6 pts | $58 | 4.3% |
| Eternal Fire | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $78 | 5.8% |
| FUT Esports | 1¢ | 0.6% | -1.4 pts | $79 | 5.8% |
| Team Vitality | 1¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $78 | 5.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.3K has been traded on this event in total, $61 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the next team Alfajer officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Alfajer does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Fnatic". If Alfajer joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Alfajer is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Fnatic and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 61 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adolescent-Earmuffs-Moai | Yes | 61 | $49 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 58 | $12 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 21 | $4 |
| Vital-Slapstick | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Absolute-Cockpit-Dungarees | No | 11 | $2 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 9 | $7 |
| Nautical-Figure | Yes | 6 | $4 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 6 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 08:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.4% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 08:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.7% | $70 |
| Oct 23, 08:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 08:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 07:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 07:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 07:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Gentle Mates at 80.0%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/valorant-offseason-alfajer-next-team-1792421285780?via=bro
$1.3K in total volume, with $61 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Gentle Mates, priced at 80.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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