Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team

As of October 24, 2026, 09:10 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 100 Thieves at 74.5% in VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team — $1.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $232.
Leading outcome
100 Thieves
74%
A 74.5% price implies roughly a 74-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +29.5 pts
100 Thieves74.5%
Team A50.0%
Bid
55¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
39¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 20, 2026: 25.5% – 74.5% · Opened at 25.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team
Category
val, Sports, Esports, Valorant, Hide From New, Roster changes
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$1.1K
Volume (24h)
$232
Liquidity
$13.6K
Markets
18
Leading outcome
100 Thieves — 74.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 100 Thieves, is priced at 74.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +29.5 pts.

Since October 20, 2026, 100 Thieves has traded between 25.5% and 74.5%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 74.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

100 Thieves is favored at 74.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
100 Thieves74¢74.5%+29.5 pts$17917.0%
Team A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Team B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Team C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Team D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Team E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
G2 Esports25¢24.6%+12.2 pts$444.2%
LOUD24¢23.5%+0.5 pts$656.2%
Leviatán Esports21¢21.0%—$444.2%
Team Envy21¢21.0%+0.5 pts$444.2%
Evil Geniuses10¢10.5%+2.0 pts$444.2%
Cloud97¢7.0%-0.5 pts$11410.8%
MIBR4¢4.5%-5.0 pts$807.6%
KRÜ Esports4¢4.4%-8.6 pts$504.7%
Sentinels4¢3.7%-0.2 pts$726.9%
NRG2¢1.8%-1.0 pts$23622.4%
FURIA Esports1¢1.2%-3.2 pts$797.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 39¢ (bid 55¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $232 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the next team Asuna officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Asuna does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "100 Thieves". If Asuna joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Asuna is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from 100 Thieves and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 84 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Giving-FindingYes84$63
0xa5ef39c3…No50$13
Grim-GarageNo16$4
Weird-AppearanceNo10$3
Straight-WrinkleNo5$1
Nautical-FigureYes3$2
Youthful-CalicoNo3$1
Direct-ChainstayNo2$1
Stunning-SpurNo1$0
Plump-ImplementationYes1$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $20 at 66.0%BUY No — $19 at 99.7%BUY No — $18 at 99.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:04 PM ETNoSELL9.0%$0
Oct 24, 05:04 PM ETYesBUY73.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:01 PM ETNoSELL23.0%$2
Oct 24, 12:59 PM ETYesBUY76.0%$5
Oct 24, 12:59 PM ETNoSELL24.0%$2
Oct 24, 09:06 AM ETYesSELL0.2%$0
Oct 24, 09:06 AM ETNoSELL97.6%$14
Oct 24, 09:06 AM ETYesBUY2.7%$1
Oct 24, 09:05 AM ETNoSELL97.6%$14
Oct 24, 09:05 AM ETYesBUY2.3%$0

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is 100 Thieves at 74.5%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/valorant-offseason-asuna-next-team-1792421285780?via=bro

How much money has been traded on VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team?

$1.1K in total volume, with $232 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.

When does VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of VALORANT Offseason: Asuna Next Team, according to Polymarket traders?

100 Thieves, priced at 74.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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