As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 8.5% in Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...? — $644.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 8.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -6.0 pts.
Since January 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 8.5% and 55.0%. It opened at 54.5% and last traded at 8.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 9.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 8.5% |
December 31 is favored at 8.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $152.3K | 23.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$644.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 45,602 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vibrant-Vintner | Yes | 45,602 | $3.9K |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 20,931 | $19.2K |
| Quick-Cardboard | No | 5,490 | $5.0K |
| Kaleidoscopic-Camp | No | 4,892 | $4.5K |
| Cheerful-Ephemera | No | 4,088 | $3.7K |
| True-Grandparent | No | 3,764 | $3.4K |
| Youthful-Facsimile | No | 3,455 | $3.2K |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 3,255 | $3.0K |
| Accurate-Spirit | No | 2,486 | $2.3K |
| Fearful-Congress | Yes | 1,906 | $162 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 03:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $36 |
| Oct 21, 09:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $241 |
| Oct 21, 09:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $256 |
| Oct 21, 09:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $231 |
| Oct 21, 09:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $252 |
| Oct 21, 09:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 09:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $297 |
| Oct 21, 09:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.5% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/venezuela-presidential-election-scheduled-by?via=bro
$644.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 8.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.