As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 8.0% in Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...? — $11.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 8.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +2.5 pts; past month: +0.5 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, December 31 has traded between 5.5% and 43.5%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 7.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 6.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 6.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 7.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 7.5% |
December 31 is favored at 8.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 8¢ | 8.0% | +0.5 pts | $5.9K | 52.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.3K has been traded on this event in total, $16 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 951 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glum-Kitty | No | 951 | $875 |
| 0x2ba311c5… | Yes | 749 | $60 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 514 | $473 |
| Kindhearted-Dinosaur | Yes | 400 | $32 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 387 | $31 |
| Darling-Top | No | 253 | $233 |
| Long-Term-Overhead | Yes | 53 | $4 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 50 | $4 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $3 |
| Frequent-Underground-Bureau | No | 36 | $33 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 05:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 05:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $18 |
| Oct 23, 05:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.9% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 05:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $37 |
| Oct 23, 05:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.5% | $104 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 04:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 04:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $10 |
| Oct 16, 04:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/venezuelan-oil-added-to-strategic-petroleum-reserve-byptptpt?via=bro
$11.3K in total volume, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 8.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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