Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kevin Acton at 94.2% in Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner — $13.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $366.
Leading outcome
Kevin Acton
94%
A 94.2% price implies roughly a 94-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.8 pts7D +9.2 pts
Kevin Acton94.2%
Person A50.0%
Bid
92¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 08, 2026: 35.5% – 95.5% · Opened at 35.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Category
World, Canada, Politics, Elections, World Elections, British Columbia, Global Elections, International Election Props
Scheduled end
October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$13.8K
Volume (24h)
$366
Liquidity
$44.7K
Markets
31
Leading outcome
Kevin Acton — 94.2%
Resolution source
https://elections.bc.ca/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Kevin Acton, is priced at 94.2%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.8 pts; past week: +9.2 pts.

Since October 08, 2026, Kevin Acton has traded between 35.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 35.5% and last traded at 94.2%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202685.0%
Oct 18, 202677.5%
Oct 19, 202675.0%
Oct 20, 202682.0%
Oct 23, 202695.5%
Oct 24, 202694.2%
Oct 24, 202694.2%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Kevin Acton is favored at 94.2%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Kevin Acton94¢94.2%-1.8 pts$7.3K52.9%
Person A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person N50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person O50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person P50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person R50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person S50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person T50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person U50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person V50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person W50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person X50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Person Z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Harwinder Sandhu2¢1.6%-2.9 pts$4.9K35.6%
Chantel Gibbs0¢0.1%—$8506.2%
Blair Visscher0¢0.1%—$7375.3%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$13.8K has been traded on this event in total, $366 of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

General elections to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).

Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,387 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,387$81
Athletic-CuriosityYes1,379$1.3K
mrworldwideYes1,232$1.2K
Belated-GlueNo932$55
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayNo501$29
Instructive-BillionYes253$238
Stale-OutcomeYes177$167
Basic-SentenceYes163$153
Awesome-AvailabilityNo144$8
Direct-ChainstayNo118$7

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $565 at 91.2%BUY Yes — $414 at 84.4%BUY Yes — $316 at 87.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 08:14 PM ETYesBUY2.6%$2
Oct 24, 07:36 AM ETNoBUY96.6%$77
Oct 24, 07:35 AM ETNoBUY95.3%$67
Oct 24, 05:24 AM ETYesSELL92.1%$7
Oct 24, 05:22 AM ETYesSELL92.1%$37
Oct 24, 04:43 AM ETYesBUY3.3%$0
Oct 24, 04:43 AM ETNoBUY2.3%$3
Oct 24, 03:35 AM ETYesSELL98.5%$5
Oct 23, 11:30 PM ETYesBUY3.3%$0
Oct 23, 11:24 PM ETYesBUY98.7%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kevin Acton at 94.2%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/vernon-lumby-british-columbia-legislative-assembly-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner?

$13.8K in total volume, with $366 traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.

When does Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.

What is the most likely outcome of Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Kevin Acton, priced at 94.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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