As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 56.5% in Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? — $5.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 56.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -5.0 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, No has traded between 47.0% and 62.5%. It opened at 53.0% and last traded at 54.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 54.5% |
No is favored at 56.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 56¢ | 56.5% | +2.0 pts | $5.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 44¢ | 43.5% | -2.0 pts | $5.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 42¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes on whether to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A vote will qualify regardless of its passage. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify. The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,822 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ugly-Stance | No | 2,822 | $1.6K |
| Wobbly-Pants | Yes | 2,015 | $877 |
| Visible-Hedgehog | Yes | 785 | $341 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 119 | $67 |
| Favorable-Relay | No | 100 | $56 |
| Twin-Quilt-Rank | Yes | 96 | $42 |
| Untidy-Competitor | Yes | 60 | $26 |
| Open-Outlay | Yes | 43 | $19 |
| 0x46299616… | Yes | 30 | $13 |
| Golden-Panpipe | Yes | 28 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 02:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 01:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 07:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 04:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 04:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 09:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 09:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 09:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 07:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 07:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 56.5%. Next is Yes at 43.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/vote-of-confidence-in-knesset-by-december-31?via=bro
$5.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 56.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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