As of October 24, 2026, 08:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 58.5% in Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31? — $2.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 58.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.5 pts; past week: -6.0 pts; past month: -7.5 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, No has traded between 44.0% and 68.5%. It opened at 55.0% and last traded at 58.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 58.5% |
No is favored at 58.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 58¢ | 58.5% | +5.5 pts | $2.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 42¢ | 41.5% | -5.5 pts | $2.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 33¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A vote will qualify only if it passes and the new government is constituted. A vote that is held but fails will not qualify. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify. The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 670 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ugly-Stance | No | 670 | $392 |
| Wobbly-Pants | Yes | 539 | $224 |
| Rash-Dozen | No | 276 | $161 |
| Far-Spit | Yes | 264 | $110 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 188 | $78 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 40 | $23 |
| This-Wiretap | No | 35 | $20 |
| Trusty-Plasterboard | No | 30 | $18 |
| Wasteful-Affect | No | 25 | $15 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 23 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 03:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 43.0% | $4 |
| Oct 09, 09:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $9 |
| Oct 08, 08:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $5 |
| Oct 06, 10:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 06, 10:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $2 |
| Oct 06, 01:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 05, 03:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $18 |
| Oct 02, 04:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $2 |
| Oct 01, 01:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 44.3% | $8 |
| Sep 30, 06:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 41.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 58.5%. Next is Yes at 41.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/vote-of-confidence-passes-in-knesset-by-december-31?via=bro
$2.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.