As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 2.5% to 4% at 61.0% in Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth? — $10.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 2.5% to 4%, is priced at 61.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +18.0 pts; past week: +21.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 2.5% to 4% has traded between 43.0% and 76.5%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 61.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.0% |
2.5% to 4% is favored at 61.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5% to 4% | 61¢ | 61.0% | +18.0 pts | $2.0K | 19.8% |
| 4% to 5.5% | 22¢ | 22.5% | -14.8 pts | $5.7K | 56.5% |
| 1% to 2.5% | 10¢ | 10.5% | +2.0 pts | $1.1K | 10.9% |
| <1% | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $535 | 5.3% |
| 5.5%+ | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $754 | 7.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 57¢ / ask 65¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.1K has been traded on this event in total, $307 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 19, 2026, 09:30 AM ET.
This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q3 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 668 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 668 | $260 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 425 | $259 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 40 | $24 |
| Pointless-Casket | Yes | 37 | $23 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 33 | $20 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Candid-Encirclement | Yes | 19 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 61.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 02:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.9% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 02:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 08:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 39.9% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 2.5% to 4% at 61.0%. Next is 4% to 5.5% at 22.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/walmart-wmt-q3-us-comparable-sales-ex-fuel-growth-20261008120138000?via=bro
$10.1K in total volume, with $307 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 19, 2026, 09:30 AM ET.
2.5% to 4%, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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