As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 79.5% in Washington voters repeal millionaires tax? — $263 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, No has traded between 58.0% and 86.5%. It opened at 77.0% and last traded at 79.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.5% |
No is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 79.5% | — | $263 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $263 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$263 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Resolution source: https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 60 | $48 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 42 | $9 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Costly-Swell | No | 6 | $4 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 07:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 07:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 07:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 07:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 12:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 11:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $3 |
| Sep 20, 02:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $5 |
| Sep 19, 11:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
| Sep 19, 09:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Sep 19, 05:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 79.5%. Next is Yes at 20.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/washington-voters-repeal-millionaires-tax?via=bro
$263 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections.
No, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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