As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Rick Shegog at 65.5% in West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner — $9.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Rick Shegog, is priced at 65.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -5.5 pts; past month: -2.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, Rick Shegog has traded between 51.0% and 73.0%. It opened at 61.0% and last traded at 61.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.5% |
Rick Shegog is favored at 65.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rick Shegog | 66¢ | 65.5% | — | $3.7K | 39.5% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Carl Cooper | 16¢ | 16.5% | -4.0 pts | $4.2K | 44.6% |
| Caroline Larner | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.2 pts | $139 | 1.5% |
| Christina Holmdahl | 2¢ | 1.7% | -3.1 pts | $1.4K | 14.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 43¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.4K has been traded on this event in total, $156 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the West Tamar Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Resolution source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 161 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our-Factor | Yes | 161 | $105 |
| Fearful-Congress | No | 138 | $48 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 136 | $89 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 121 | $42 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 44 | $15 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 41 | $27 |
| runes-leo | Yes | 37 | $25 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 20 | $7 |
| Wet-Event | No | 20 | $7 |
| Blaring-Sprinter | No | 20 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 01:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 58.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 05:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 02:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 02:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 02:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 02:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 08:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.6% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Rick Shegog at 65.5%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/west-tamar-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$9.4K in total volume, with $156 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/.
Rick Shegog, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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