Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Base at 44.6% in What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities? — $4.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Base
45%
A 44.6% price implies roughly a 45-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.2 pts7D +0.9 pts30D +0.8 pts
Base44.6%
Ethereum44.2%
Bid
1¢
Ask
89¢
Spread
88¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 20, 2026: 9.5% – 51.1% · Opened at 27.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?
Category
Crypto, NYSE, Crypto Listings
Scheduled end
January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET
Total volume
$4.5K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$221
Markets
26
Leading outcome
Base — 44.6%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Base, is priced at 44.6%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +0.9 pts; past month: +0.8 pts.

Since January 20, 2026, Base has traded between 9.5% and 51.1%. It opened at 27.5% and last traded at 44.6%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202643.8%
Oct 18, 202643.5%
Oct 19, 202641.1%
Oct 20, 202643.8%
Oct 22, 202643.0%
Oct 23, 202644.4%
Oct 24, 202644.6%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Base is favored at 44.6%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Base45¢44.6%+0.2 pts$2335.2%
Ethereum44¢44.2%-1.1 pts$2926.5%
Multichain39¢39.0%+1.0 pts$3.0K67.5%
Own Chain38¢38.0%+8.0 pts$2345.2%
Solana30¢29.5%-0.1 pts$69715.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 88¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$4.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 26 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

NYSE has announced plans to launch a tokenized securities platform. More details can be found here: https://x.com/NYSE/status/2013263835549819097 This market will resolve to the blockchain that the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) officially confirms it will use for the settlement of its tokenized securities platform. An official announcement, regulatory filing, or public statement from NYSE or ICE explicitly naming a blockchain will qualify for resolution and will trigger immediate resolution, regardless of whether additional blockchains are announced later. If multiple blockchains are officially confirmed at the time of the first qualifying announcement, this market will resolve to “Multichain.” If NYSE or ICE confirms the use of its own blockchain developed by or for NYSE/ICE—whether public or private, and whether developed independently or in partnership—this market will resolve to “Own Chain.” The primary resolution sources will be official announcements from NYSE or ICE, regulatory filings, or a broad consensus of credible reporting. If no blockchain is officially confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 140 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No140$77
Belated-GlueYes80$36
Hasty-BehaviourYes40$18
Joyful-MonsoonYes15$7
Sharp-LandformYes5$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $111 at 69.0%BUY No — $109 at 68.0%SELL No — $106 at 69.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 12:20 AM ETYesBUY16.0%$7
Oct 12, 03:51 AM ETYesSELL2.1%$0
Aug 17, 12:04 PM ETYesSELL14.0%$6
Aug 17, 09:04 AM ETYesSELL1.2%$0
Aug 17, 09:04 AM ETYesSELL1.2%$0
Aug 16, 11:58 PM ETYesBUY73.8%$4
Aug 16, 10:32 PM ETYesBUY80.9%$38
Aug 05, 05:31 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$0
Aug 05, 05:11 AM ETYesSELL0.5%$0
Jul 28, 09:40 AM ETYesBUY49.7%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Base at 44.6%. Next is Ethereum at 44.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-chain-will-the-nyse-choose-for-tokenized-securities?via=bro

How much money has been traded on What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities??

$4.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 26 markets.

When does What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of What chain will the NYSE choose for tokenized securities?, according to Polymarket traders?

Base, priced at 44.6% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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