As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Earbuds/Headphones at 16.0% in What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? — $458.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Earbuds/Headphones, is priced at 16.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +0.5 pts.
Since January 30, 2026, Earbuds/Headphones has traded between 6.0% and 90.5%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 15.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 29.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 15.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 15.0% |
Earbuds/Headphones is favored at 16.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earbuds/Headphones | 16¢ | 16.0% | -6.0 pts | $125.3K | 27.3% |
| Glasses | 12¢ | 12.0% | -0.5 pts | $69.4K | 15.1% |
| Clip-on device for clothing | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $27.6K | 6.0% |
| Tablet | 8¢ | 8.1% | — | $26.0K | 5.7% |
| Computer (Laptop/Desktop) | 5¢ | 5.2% | -0.4 pts | $44.9K | 9.8% |
| Watch | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $43.9K | 9.6% |
| Ring | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $16.2K | 3.5% |
| Necklace | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.5 pts | $27.9K | 6.1% |
| Phone | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $62.4K | 13.6% |
| Head-mounted display | 2¢ | 1.9% | — | $14.9K | 3.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 21¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$458.5K has been traded on this event in total, $79 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,204 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Disguised-Randomization | No | 4,204 | $3.5K |
| Smooth-Supreme | No | 1,500 | $1.3K |
| Trusting-Bungalow | No | 1,236 | $1.0K |
| Internal-Cowbell | Yes | 1,200 | $192 |
| Superficial-Output | Yes | 1,000 | $160 |
| Adventurous-Safari | Yes | 800 | $128 |
| Wrong-Apprehension | Yes | 657 | $105 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 650 | $104 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 558 | $89 |
| Rotating-Point | No | 558 | $469 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:28 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 07:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.4% | $35 |
| Oct 23, 07:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 07:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $167 |
| Oct 22, 12:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $37 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $23 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 08:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 06:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Earbuds/Headphones at 16.0%. Next is Glasses at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-kind-of-product-will-openai-announce-in-2026?via=bro
$458.5K in total volume, with $79 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Earbuds/Headphones, priced at 16.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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