As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ 10,000 at 22.0% in What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026? — $126.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ 10,000, is priced at 22.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: -2.0 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.
Since March 16, 2026, ↓ 10,000 has traded between 7.0% and 79.5%. It opened at 79.5% and last traded at 24.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 17.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 19.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 24.0% |
↓ 10,000 is favored at 22.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 10,000 | 22¢ | 22.0% | +3.0 pts | $30.0K | 23.7% |
| ↑ 14,000 | 4¢ | 4.3% | -1.3 pts | $17.3K | 13.7% |
| ↓ 6,000 | 4¢ | 4.3% | -2.3 pts | $12.3K | 9.7% |
| ↓ 8,000 | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.4 pts | $15.5K | 12.2% |
| ↑ 18,000 | 2¢ | 2.1% | -2.9 pts | $12.9K | 10.2% |
| ↑ 16,000 | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.1 pts | $20.4K | 16.1% |
| ↓ 4,000 | 2¢ | 2.1% | -0.4 pts | $18.3K | 14.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 31¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$126.8K has been traded on this event in total, $383 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, for any trading day, the relevant TradingView data is unavailable, the official daily high value for the DFM Real Estate Index published by the Dubai Financial Market will be used to determine whether the listed value was reached during the applicable trading session. If price data remains unavailable from both sources for 72 hours after market close on the final trading day of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the price data published up to that point.
Resolution source: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 8,493 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 8,493 | $1.9K |
| Accurate-Rail | No | 7,623 | $5.9K |
| 0x89cd944a… | No | 1,326 | $1.0K |
| Gummy-Tentacle | Yes | 889 | $196 |
| Plush-Loafer | No | 629 | $491 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 463 | $102 |
| Sharp-Astrakhan | No | 417 | $326 |
| Spry-Netbook | No | 364 | $284 |
| Steep-Visa | Yes | 353 | $78 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 258 | $57 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.2% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 02:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 09:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.1% | $29 |
| Oct 21, 12:53 PM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 12:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 09:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 07:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 07:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.2% | $360 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ 10,000 at 22.0%. Next is ↑ 14,000 at 4.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-level-will-the-dubai-real-estate-index-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$126.8K in total volume, with $383 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI.
↓ 10,000, priced at 22.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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