As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ $344 at 75.0% in What will Apple (AAPL) hit in October 2026? — $53.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ $344, is priced at 75.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, ↓ $344 has traded between 67.5% and 75.0%. It opened at 67.5% and last traded at 75.0%.
↓ $344 is favored at 75.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $344 | 75¢ | 75.0% | +4.5 pts | $524 | 1.0% |
| ↑ $352 | 60¢ | 60.5% | -6.5 pts | $9.2K | 17.0% |
| ↓ $336 | 46¢ | 46.0% | +16.5 pts | $2.7K | 5.1% |
| ↓ $328 | 28¢ | 28.5% | +19.0 pts | $3.8K | 7.2% |
| ↑ $360 | 22¢ | 22.0% | -3.0 pts | $8.7K | 16.1% |
| ↑ $368 | 6¢ | 6.5% | -2.5 pts | $1.2K | 2.2% |
| ↓ $312 | 5¢ | 5.1% | +0.4 pts | $4.2K | 7.8% |
| ↑ $384 | 4¢ | 4.4% | — | $858 | 1.6% |
| ↑ $376 | 4¢ | 4.3% | — | $575 | 1.1% |
| ↓ $320 | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $5.5K | 10.2% |
| ↓ $304 | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.1 pts | $2.5K | 4.6% |
| ↓ $288 | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.4 pts | $2.1K | 3.9% |
| ↑ $392 | 3¢ | 3.4% | +0.1 pts | $424 | 0.8% |
| ↓ $296 | 3¢ | 3.3% | — | $836 | 1.6% |
| ↓ $280 | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $476 | 0.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$53.8K has been traded on this event in total, $478 of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 303 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh-Cuckoo-Derby | No | 303 | $76 |
| Gregarious-Infix-Buck | Yes | 220 | $165 |
| Previous-Seafood | Yes | 100 | $75 |
| Empty-Annual | No | 20 | $5 |
| Different-Hygienic-Elver | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 12:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 01:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 01:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 01:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $30 |
| Oct 23, 10:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 10:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 10:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $34 |
| Oct 23, 09:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 86.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ $344 at 75.0%. Next is ↑ $352 at 60.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-aapl-hit-in-october-2026?via=bro
$53.8K in total volume, with $478 traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
↓ $344, priced at 75.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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