As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ $240 at 64.0% in What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026? — $57.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ $240, is priced at 64.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -11.0 pts; past week: -13.0 pts.
Since September 25, 2026, ↓ $240 has traded between 29.0% and 77.5%. It opened at 51.5% and last traded at 64.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 29.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 64.5% |
↓ $240 is favored at 64.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $240 | 64¢ | 64.0% | -11.0 pts | $2.5K | 4.3% |
| ↑ $256 | 62¢ | 62.0% | -5.5 pts | $310 | 0.5% |
| ↑ $264 | 55¢ | 54.5% | +9.5 pts | $616 | 1.1% |
| ↓ $248 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $232 | 37¢ | 37.0% | -3.0 pts | $4.8K | 8.4% |
| ↑ $272 | 30¢ | 30.5% | -18.5 pts | $4.0K | 7.0% |
| ↓ $224 | 22¢ | 22.5% | -6.0 pts | $2.8K | 4.9% |
| ↑ $280 | 17¢ | 17.0% | -3.0 pts | $4.8K | 8.4% |
| ↓ $216 | 16¢ | 15.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.0K | 3.5% |
| ↑ $288 | 12¢ | 12.0% | -3.5 pts | $4.8K | 8.4% |
| ↑ $296 | 8¢ | 7.6% | -0.9 pts | $1.9K | 3.3% |
| ↓ $208 | 6¢ | 5.9% | — | $2.7K | 4.7% |
| ↓ $200 | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.2 pts | $5.4K | 9.5% |
| ↑ $304 | 2¢ | 2.4% | -0.8 pts | $2.5K | 4.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$57.3K has been traded on this event in total, $434 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 987 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snarling-Pantology | Yes | 987 | $632 |
| Fresh-Cuckoo-Derby | No | 617 | $222 |
| Unhappy-Appropriation | No | 180 | $65 |
| Witty-Decadence | Yes | 124 | $79 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 70 | $25 |
| Flat-Checking | No | 66 | $24 |
| Academic-Waiter-Fencing | No | 50 | $18 |
| Specific-Moody | No | 50 | $18 |
| Favorable-Crayfish | Yes | 29 | $19 |
| Quarterly-Goddess | No | 23 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 82.6% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 10:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 09:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 01:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.4% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 02:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $50 |
| Oct 22, 02:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 01:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ $240 at 64.0%. Next is ↑ $256 at 62.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-amzn-hit-in-october-2026?via=bro
$57.3K in total volume, with $434 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
↓ $240, priced at 64.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.