As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ 7 at 43.0% in What price will Avalanche hit in 2026? — $26.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ 7, is priced at 43.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +2.5 pts; past month: -15.5 pts.
Since August 25, 2026, ↓ 7 has traded between 28.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 43.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 43.0% |
↓ 7 is favored at 43.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 7 | 43¢ | 43.0% | +0.5 pts | $767 | 2.9% |
| ↓ 6 | 40¢ | 40.0% | +3.5 pts | $658 | 2.5% |
| ↑ 13 | 21¢ | 21.0% | +0.5 pts | $3.4K | 12.8% |
| ↑ 14 | 16¢ | 16.0% | -5.5 pts | $4.2K | 15.7% |
| ↓ 4 | 12¢ | 12.4% | +0.3 pts | $977 | 3.7% |
| ↓ 5 | 11¢ | 11.3% | +2.1 pts | $1.5K | 5.5% |
| ↑ 16 | 10¢ | 10.0% | -4.0 pts | $4.5K | 16.8% |
| ↓ 3 | 8¢ | 8.2% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | 6.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 62¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$26.7K has been traded on this event in total, $951 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Avalanche (AVAX/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the AVAX/USDT “High” and "Low" prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/AVAX_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance AVAX/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/AVAX_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 68 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 68 | $29 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 48 | $27 |
| Weepy-Sorbet | No | 47 | $27 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 38 | $16 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 23 | $13 |
| Third-Odyssey | Yes | 21 | $9 |
| Present-Lava | No | 20 | $11 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 13 | $6 |
| Judicious-Credibility-Pounding | No | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:29 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 11:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 11:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $71 |
| Oct 24, 11:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 11:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 10:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.3% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 10:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.8% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 10:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ 7 at 43.0%. Next is ↓ 6 at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-avalanche-hit-before-2027?via=bro
$26.7K in total volume, with $951 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/AVAX_USDT.
↓ 7, priced at 43.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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