As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ $0.03 at 66.0% in What price will Cap hit in 2026? — $24.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ $0.03, is priced at 66.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +9.5 pts; past month: +21.0 pts.
Since August 25, 2026, ↓ $0.03 has traded between 25.5% and 67.0%. It opened at 41.0% and last traded at 66.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.0% |
↓ $0.03 is favored at 66.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $0.03 | 66¢ | 66.0% | — | $169 | 0.7% |
| ↑ $0.15 | 14¢ | 13.5% | -2.0 pts | $4.1K | 16.5% |
| ↑ $0.20 | 9¢ | 9.4% | +0.7 pts | $3.2K | 12.7% |
| ↓ $0.01 | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $3.4K | 13.7% |
| ↓ $0.015 | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $2.8K | 11.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 42¢ (bid 45¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.9K has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Bybit 1-minute candle for Cap (CAP/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Bybit, specifically the CAP/USDT “High” and "Low" prices available at: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/CAP/USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Bybit CAP/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Resolution source: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/CAP/USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 40 | $14 |
| Fortunate-Eye | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Third-Odyssey | Yes | 19 | $13 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 6 | $4 |
| Unfortunate-Particle | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 01:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 01:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 01:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 01:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 08:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $11 |
| Oct 20, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 02:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.2% | $108 |
| Oct 20, 02:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 08:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ $0.03 at 66.0%. Next is ↑ $0.15 at 13.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-cap-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$24.9K in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/CAP/USDT.
↓ $0.03, priced at 66.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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