As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ $0.20 at 60.0% in What price will edgeX hit in 2026? — $22.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ $0.20, is priced at 60.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +25.0 pts; past month: +18.0 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, ↓ $0.20 has traded between 18.0% and 66.0%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 51.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 51.0% |
↓ $0.20 is favored at 60.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $0.20 | 60¢ | 60.0% | — | $738 | 3.2% |
| ↑ $0.80 | 40¢ | 40.5% | +12.0 pts | $655 | 2.9% |
| ↑ $1.00 | 28¢ | 28.5% | +1.0 pts | $3.2K | 13.9% |
| ↑ $1.20 | 12¢ | 12.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.4K | 10.5% |
| ↑ $1.40 | 12¢ | 11.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.9K | 8.5% |
| ↑ $1.60 | 8¢ | 8.0% | +1.0 pts | $3.0K | 13.1% |
| ↑ $1.80 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $1.0K | 4.5% |
| ↑ $2.50 | 5¢ | 5.4% | +0.2 pts | $876 | 3.8% |
| ↑ $3.00 | 5¢ | 5.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.4K | 6.1% |
| ↑ $2.00 | 5¢ | 5.0% | -1.0 pts | $940 | 4.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 44¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Bybit 1-minute candle for edgeX (EDGE/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Bybit, specifically the EDGE/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/EDGE/USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Bybit EDGE/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Resolution source: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/EDGE/USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 201 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Third-Odyssey | Yes | 201 | $121 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 78 | $31 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 40 | $16 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 20 | $8 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $8 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | No | 20 | $8 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 18 | $7 |
| Pointed-Minimalism | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 11:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 11:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 11:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 04:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 04:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 05:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 08:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 08:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 08:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $16 |
| Oct 18, 04:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $12 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ $0.20 at 60.0%. Next is ↑ $0.80 at 40.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-edgex-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$22.8K in total volume, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/EDGE/USDT.
↓ $0.20, priced at 60.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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