As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ 0.30 at 27.5% in What price will Plasma hit in 2026? — $305.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑ 0.30, is priced at 27.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +0.5 pts.
Since November 25, 2025, ↑ 0.30 has traded between 7.5% and 87.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 26.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 27.0% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 26.0% |
↑ 0.30 is favored at 27.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 0.30 | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $185 | 0.1% |
| ↑ 0.24 | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $956 | 0.3% |
| ↑ 0.40 | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $639 | 0.2% |
| ↑ 0.50 | 11¢ | 11.0% | +1.5 pts | $1.7K | 0.5% |
| ↑ 0.60 | 10¢ | 9.5% | -1.5 pts | $551 | 0.2% |
| ↑ 1.20 | 9¢ | 8.8% | — | $2.4K | 0.8% |
| ↑ 1.60 | 5¢ | 4.9% | +1.8 pts | $1.2K | 0.4% |
| ↑ 1.40 | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $1.7K | 0.6% |
| ↑ 1.80 | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $3.2K | 1.1% |
| ↑ 2.20 | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $2.7K | 0.9% |
| ↑ 2.00 | 1¢ | 1.1% | -1.1 pts | $2.0K | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 41¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 48¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$305.4K has been traded on this event in total, $89 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XPL (XPL/USDT) between November 25, 2025, 17:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XPL/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XPL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 53 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x44516444… | No | 53 | $38 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 48 | $13 |
| Candid-Lighting | No | 28 | $21 |
| 0xedf59dd4… | Yes | 26 | $7 |
| Worldly-Dump | Yes | 18 | $5 |
| Mediocre-Peripheral | No | 10 | $7 |
| 0xdcb580a4… | No | 6 | $4 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| United-Welcome | Yes | 1 | $0 |
| Sophisticated-Hat | No | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 03:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 01:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.8% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 09:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.8% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 08:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 06:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.7% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.9% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 10:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 08:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ 0.30 at 27.5%. Next is ↑ 0.24 at 24.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-plasma-hit-before-2027?via=bro
$305.4K in total volume, with $89 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XPL_USDT.
↑ 0.30, priced at 27.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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