Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ $54 at 86.0% in What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026? — $248.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.1K.
Leading outcome
↑ $54
86%
A 86.0% price implies roughly a 86-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
↑ $5486.0%
↓ $5257.0%
Bid
80¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
12¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
Category
Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Hide From New, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Silver
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$248.9K
Volume (24h)
$1.1K
Liquidity
$156.4K
Markets
18
Leading outcome
↑ $54 — 86.0%
Resolution source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

↑ $54 is favored at 86.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
↑ $5486¢86.0%—$50.0%
↓ $5257¢57.0%+4.5 pts$22.2K8.9%
↑ $5640¢40.0%-3.0 pts$5240.2%
↓ $5022¢22.0%+5.0 pts$18.6K7.5%
↑ $5814¢13.5%-2.5 pts$1.1K0.4%
↓ $4211¢11.0%—$00.0%
↑ $606¢6.0%-1.0 pts$7.5K3.0%
↓ $485¢4.6%—$13.5K5.4%
↑ $622¢2.1%+0.1 pts$17.0K6.8%
↓ $442¢1.9%—$1850.1%
↑ $642¢1.7%—$11.8K4.7%
↑ $681¢1.3%—$10.3K4.2%
↑ $661¢1.3%+0.1 pts$13.9K5.6%
↑ $721¢0.9%—$11.1K4.4%
↓ $461¢0.9%-1.2 pts$3.0K1.2%
↑ $761¢0.8%—$4.3K1.7%
↑ $701¢0.7%—$9.2K3.7%
↑ $741¢0.7%—$2.6K1.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$248.9K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Fresh-Cuckoo-DerbyYes5$4
Bowed-Spelling-AppetiserNo5$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $520 at 89.0%BUY No — $435 at 87.0%BUY No — $427 at 62.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 10:52 AM ETNoBUY44.0%$3
Oct 24, 10:52 AM ETYesSELL20.0%$2
Oct 24, 10:25 AM ETYesSELL50.0%$47
Oct 24, 10:25 AM ETNoBUY44.0%$45
Oct 24, 10:25 AM ETYesSELL20.0%$40
Oct 24, 10:17 AM ETNoSELL80.9%$19
Oct 24, 10:17 AM ETNoBUY46.0%$4
Oct 24, 10:17 AM ETYesBUY19.0%$3
Oct 24, 05:51 AM ETNoBUY52.0%$26
Oct 23, 04:46 PM ETYesSELL15.2%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ $54 at 86.0%. Next is ↓ $52 at 57.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xagusd-hit-in-october-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026??

$248.9K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.

When does What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD.

What is the most likely outcome of What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

↑ $54, priced at 86.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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