As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ 3.5T at 47.0% in What value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026? — $23.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑ 3.5T, is priced at 47.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +3.0 pts; past month: +19.5 pts.
Since July 21, 2026, ↑ 3.5T has traded between 6.5% and 58.0%. It opened at 13.0% and last traded at 48.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 48.5% |
↑ 3.5T is favored at 47.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 3.5T | 47¢ | 47.0% | -1.5 pts | $997 | 4.3% |
| ↑ 3.25T | 44¢ | 43.5% | -23.5 pts | $944 | 4.1% |
| ↓ 2T | 27¢ | 27.0% | +3.5 pts | $1.4K | 6.0% |
| ↑ 3.75T | 15¢ | 15.0% | +1.0 pts | $5.5K | 23.8% |
| ↑ 4T | 6¢ | 6.3% | — | $4.0K | 17.2% |
| ↓ 1.5T | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $337 | 1.5% |
| ↓ 1.75T | 3¢ | 2.9% | -1.1 pts | $788 | 3.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 66¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$23.2K has been traded on this event in total, $88 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches a value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value on any date from the creation of this market through December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Market Cap" figure shown when mousing over a given date on the "Total Crypto Market Cap" chart available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/charts. A data point on the CoinGecko chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. Please note that this market depends solely on the CoinGecko "Total Crypto Market Cap" chart. Data from other sources, indices, aggregators, or exchanges will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/charts
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 221 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internal-Pamphlet | No | 221 | $117 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 160 | $75 |
| Cool-Pattypan | Yes | 145 | $68 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 40 | $21 |
| Optimistic-Cowboy | No | 40 | $21 |
| Distinct-Curd-High | Yes | 32 | $15 |
| Unlucky-Comparison | No | 30 | $16 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 22 | $12 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 20 | $9 |
| Wary-Seal | Yes | 20 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 06:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.6% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 06:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 06:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 06:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 06:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 08:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 21, 05:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ 3.5T at 47.0%. Next is ↑ 3.25T at 43.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-value-will-total-crypto-market-cap-hit-in-2026-20260721191725233?via=bro
$23.2K in total volume, with $88 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/en/charts.
↑ 3.5T, priced at 47.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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